Everyone has known since the beginning that the B1G will expand. There’s just no reason to do it now. It’ll be much closer to the end of their media contract. They aren’t going to poach Iowa State and Kansas until they see when Oklahoma and Texas get out and what kind of fees and legal action comes from it. It will more than likely be a few more years before the B1G makes a move.
While its fun to speculate, unfortunately I don't think the B1G answer to the SEC adding OU & UT will be KU & ISU.
BUT... if they were going to do that it can be argued now would be the time for it because I think its much easier to parse out the rest of the B12 to the ACC & PAC for financial reasons than get the B1G to take KU & ISU.
ESPN could pay the ACC & PAC a little more to take those schools and avoid exit fees and GOR fees altogether for those involved.
Baylor & WVU to the ACC and the remaining schools TCU, TT, OSU & KSU to the PAC. In this scenario if both the ACC & PAC networks could get in state footprint subscriber rates in Texas it goes a ways towards paying for their additions. Its questionable Baylor on its own could get Texas coverage but ESPN might be able to creatively package it with the SEC Network somehow to make it work. The estimated B12 contract renewal is not supposed to be that far behind the ACC contract and it remains to be seen the PAC contract. The PAC and ACC can then monetize conference semi-final games also.
The other incentive for ESPN is they are going to be paying 17M-25M per school per year MORE for the 4 new additions to the B12. The AAC contract was about 7-8M a year and 8M is the amount I believe for BYU.
It probably won't happen but there would be a lot of incentive for ESPN to try and get this to happen now instead of later. Which B12 school wouldn't feel better long term with a place in one of the remaining P4 leagues in lieu of exit fees and GOR's from OU/UT?