By the numbers - not winning in the margins

Bigman38

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FWIW it's worth I'm pretty sure ISU had a similar story with their stats early last year, and in years past under Campbell. They point to a good team that's close but isn't firing all cylinders yet for whatever reason.
 

AlaCyclone

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The truly frustrating part about all of this is the coaching staff has done the hard part at a school like ISU. They've got the talent on O and D to compete at a high level. Yet somehow they are failing at what is comparatively speaking the easy part, just being competent on special teams.
To be fair. Alabama really struggled in special teams in the early Nick Saban years. They missed FGs left and right, gave up Kickoffs for TDs regularly and had mediocre punting. They finally figured it out, so there is hope for the Campbell Regime!
 
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VeloClone

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Ok but they consistently had a 80-yard field in front of them when they took possession vs. Iowa, while Iowa consistently had a 50-yard in front of them when they took possession. Congrats for having more total yards I guess but if you actually look at what happened it's just because Iowa's D dominated with turnovers and Iowa's ST dominated with field position.
Yards per play of less than 2 is still impressive and it really isn't affected by field possession unless you consistently got the ball inside the 5 yard line.
 
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VeloClone

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Yep you made the point, but the Fuhrman guy said 'it's hard to lose games with those stats'... no, it's not if you actually look at what happened.
It doesn't happen very often that teams that outgain other teams 2 to 1 and hold the other teams to under 2 yards per play lose. So there has to be something else in play. That is pretty obvious.

Besides I guess when he said "hard to lose" I read it as more like that is a tough way to lose.
 

Clone5

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Everyone gets so worked up over “the margins”. It’s just coach speak to get through press conferences without revealing much. No one wins with terrible special teams and an offense that struggles to finish drives. None of that is unique to ISU.
I have no stats to back this up but there is no way there are any other even semi-successful programs that have had the issues with kickoffs and punt returns that we've had in the Campbell era.
 
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MugNight

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I guess phrasing really matters. Identifying something “in the margin” implies that it’s not a focus; it’s not really part of the main picture, and thus it doesn’t command the same attention.

Special Teams is 33% of the recipe for success in football. If it’s being treated as a margin item, then we can expect it to underwhelm.

In fact, our ceiling is 67% of our potential if we neglect that third completely. What we thought was a 10-12 win season very well may become a 6-8 win season. It makes sense.
 
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Daserop

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Sobering stats. Basically turnovers and special teams are the reasons why we are 2-2 and not 3-1 or 4-0.



Source

Iowa State Stats

Opponent Gross Punt Yards per Game

2021: Rank #116 @ 303.7 YPG
2020: Rank #78 @ 198.4 YPG
2019: Rank #100 @ 223.8 YPG
2018: Rank #79 @ 210.4 YPG

Team Gross Punt Yards per Game

2021: Rank #109 @ 146 YPG
2020: Rank #95 @ 159.5 YPG
2019: Rank #98 @ 173.2 YPG
2018: Rank #97 @ 177.4 YPG

Turnover Margin Per game

2021: Rank #119 @ -1.3
2020: Rank #44 @ +.02
2019: Rank #78 @ -0.2
2018: Rank #78 @ -0.2

Penalties per Game

2021: Rank #18 @ 4.7
2020: Rank #30 @ 5.1
2019: Rank #14 @ 4.7
2018: Rank #33 @ 5.0

Penalty Yards per Game

2021: Rank #10 @ 34.0
2020: Rank #24 @ 42.6
2019: Rank #6 @ 37.2
2018: Rank #17 @ 41.8

In my opinion, I wouldn't even bother punting.
 

Gossamer

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aside from ST play, my two biggest margin gripes are...

1-going under center for two and passing instead of handing it off to a guy averaging 7 yds per carry

2-the way CMC answered the question about why we did that

Even if I support the "he's the coach theory", this was the first time I thought he was a **** for answering the way he did. He's not Nick Sabin where when he does something, we all just accept it. When you've lost two games you were supposed to win, people with judge you...and question your play calling.
 
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Daserop

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aside from ST play, my two biggest margin gripes are...

1-going under center for two and passing instead of handing it off to a guy averaging 7 yds per carry

2-the way CMC answered the question about why we did that

Even if I support the "he's the coach theory", this was the first time I thought he was a **** for answering the way he did. He's not Nick Sabin where when he does something, we all just accept it. When you've lost two games you were supposed to win, people with judge you...and question your play calling.

To use a phrase Jeff Woody uses, "let's call a spade a spade" people need to call out questionable / terrible play calling.
 

cyclones500

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aside from ST play, my two biggest margin gripes are...

1-going under center for two and passing instead of handing it off to a guy averaging 7 yds per carry

2-the way CMC answered the question about why we did that

Even if I support the "he's the coach theory", this was the first time I thought he was a **** for answering the way he did. He's not Nick Sabin where when he does something, we all just accept it. When you've lost two games you were supposed to win, people with judge you...and question your play calling.

I didn't see/hear his answer ... curious what it is.
 

cyclones500

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basslakebeacon.com


go to the 1:22 mark when asked about the play.


Thanks for posting ... Oh yeah, that comment. Now I realize I had read that somewhere on CF, couldn't recall it was response to that Q.

A bit dismissive, to say the least. ... I guess if ISU did under-center 40% of the time, it'd be a silly question - but we rarely do (although we do see it occasionally inside the 5, I think).
 
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VeloClone

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aside from ST play, my two biggest margin gripes are...

1-going under center for two and passing instead of handing it off to a guy averaging 7 yds per carry

2-the way CMC answered the question about why we did that

Even if I support the "he's the coach theory", this was the first time I thought he was a **** for answering the way he did. He's not Nick Sabin where when he does something, we all just accept it. When you've lost two games you were supposed to win, people with judge you...and question your play calling.
They are going to question everything you do. (This board is proof positive of that.) That doesn't mean that you have to listen to it or take that questioning into account as you make decisions in the future.
 
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cayin

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Love this staff, but they have some shortcomings. Look, they had 7 false starts in one game (Alamo Bowl). SEVEN!!!!! How is that even possible? You would think after 4 of them, that would be it, no if ands buts about it, that should have been it, it should have been corrected. But no, they went on to commit 5, 6, and 7. Cut the false starts from 7 to 6 and win that game, but we couldn't even do that. My point is there is going to be certain things about this staff that are going to drive us nuts, they do not win in margins at the rate of similar coaches like Bill Snyder, Frank Beamer, and Kirk.
 

VeloClone

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Love this staff, but they have some shortcomings. Look, they had 7 false starts in one game (Alamo Bowl). SEVEN!!!!! How is that even possible? You would think after 4 of them, that would be it, no if ands buts about it, that should have been it, it should have been corrected. But no, they went on to commit 5, 6, and 7. Cut the false starts from 7 to 6 and win that game, but we couldn't even do that. My point is there is going to be certain things about this staff that are going to drive us nuts, they do not win in margins at the rate of similar coaches like Bill Snyder, Frank Beamer, and Kirk.
I thought there was some talk that the WSU front seven was simulating the snap during that game but it was never called.
 

Clone5

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The truly frustrating part about all of this is the coaching staff has done the hard part at a school like ISU. They've got the talent on O and D to compete at a high level. Yet somehow they are failing at what is comparatively speaking the easy part, just being competent on special teams.
Yes, this is exactly right. Add to this that the mistakes are so similar game to game and even year to year it makes it even more baffling.
 

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