***Official 2023 Weather Thread***

Tri4Cy

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Apr 4, 2012
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Put a soaker nozzle on the end of my hose and set a five minute timer and moved it around my columnar white pines for 90 minutes to give them a good soaking in. Will do the same for the crabapple tree today. Already did same for 10 Japanese yews. Could see drying needles on them.....should have been hitting them earlier.
Yeah, I've been using a 5 gal bucket with holes a few times this summer. I've noticed quite a few trees in my neighborhood that are already turning. They look REALLY stressed. Crazy dry summer.
 
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MJ29

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It's currently pouring in WDM. I did not see this on the radar earlier.
 

CyCoug

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This is kind of random, but where I am the weather forecast for Wednesday Sept 20 (tomorrow) was for a 100% chance of rain earlier.

They just updated the forecast to be 70%.

How can it be 100% at one time and lowered later? If the forecast is for 100% it logically shouldn’t be able to be lowered to less than that later on. Or am I thinking about it incorrectly?

Sorry, just being a little salty because I was really hoping for the rain.
 

wxman1

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This is kind of random, but where I am the weather forecast for Wednesday Sept 20 (tomorrow) was for a 100% chance of rain earlier.

They just updated the forecast to be 70%.

How can it be 100% at one time and lowered later? If the forecast is for 100% it logically shouldn’t be able to be lowered to less than that later on. Or am I thinking about it incorrectly?

Sorry, just being a little salty because I was really hoping for the rain.
At the time you looked at it the chance was 100%. Time went by, new data came in and it was updated, simple as that.
 
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CyCoug

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At the time you looked at it the chance was 100%. Time went by, new data came in and it was updated, simple as that.
Right. But then no one should ever forecast 100% because that implies certainty when clearly it’s not certain. Say 99% even, but not 100%

Mostly just being a pain. I know forecasts go in increments of 10%.
 

StClone

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Dec 17, 2009
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Put a soaker nozzle on the end of my hose and set a five minute timer and moved it around my columnar white pines for 90 minutes to give them a good soaking in. Will do the same for the crabapple tree today. Already did same for 10 Japanese yews. Could see drying needles on them.....should have been hitting them earlier.
And you may need to keep doing this weekly until the ground starts to freeze. Next Spring, barring a crazy wet fall/winter, there will be many brown-out landscape pines, young deciduous saplings, and vulnerable shrubs.
 
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somecyguy

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And you may need to keep doing this weekly until the ground starts to freeze. Next Spring, barring a crazy wet fall/winter, there will be many brown-out landscape pines, young deciduous saplings, and vulnerable shrubs.

Given mother nature's sick sense of humor, a wet fall wouldn't surprise me just to piss off the farmers trying to harvest.
 
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wxman1

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Right. But then no one should ever forecast 100% because that implies certainty when clearly it’s not certain. Say 99% even, but not 100%

Mostly just being a pain. I know forecasts go in increments of 10%.
I don’t know of any meteorologist that would put 100% more than 12-24 hours out and even then it has to be a slam dunk for this very reason. Thus, I would question your source of information and imagine it has no human input to it.
 
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NetflixAndClone

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Sep 6, 2015
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Right. But then no one should ever forecast 100% because that implies certainty when clearly it’s not certain. Say 99% even, but not 100%

Mostly just being a pain. I know forecasts go in increments of 10%.
the percentage is telling the area of the forecast that will at least get a measurable amount of .01 inches of rain. All that means was the whole area forecasted was going to see rain but now that means only 70% of the area will see rain.
 

BoxsterCy

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Sep 14, 2009
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And you may need to keep doing this weekly until the ground starts to freeze. Next Spring, barring a crazy wet fall/winter, there will be many brown-out landscape pines, young deciduous saplings, and vulnerable shrubs.

^Truth. Good advice for peeps to soak their evergreens in, a good soaking and not just surface watering. I'll probably do my white pines and the yews a couple more times.
 

CyCoug

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I don’t know of any meteorologist that would put 100% more than 12-24 hours out and even then it has to be a slam dunk for this very reason. Thus, I would question your source of information and imagine it has no human input to it.
It was the NOAA site on Monday. Zip code 33928 if interested. I think NOAA meteorologists do a manual grid system right?

So grid A1 they look and say 70% chance. B2 80% chance etc.

Anyway it’s updated to 80% this morning. I’m here a couple more days until heading back to the totally different climate of the Intermountain West.