THIS!! This is the best analysis I've seen of this game - and 100% the key. Specifically Jones was shooting >75% on two-point field goals on the season - and went 5-16 last night.Beyond the win, I think there's a lot to like about last night. There's still a lot of ceiling to be explored, with Tamin's struggles and MM not being a super consistent performer yet.
The main thing to me, though, is that the defense returned last night. Not so much in forcing turnovers (though Marquette is a low turnover team, and there were some key steals in the last 5-10 minutes), but especially in two-point defense. In the Auburn and Dayton games, they were getting easy looks at the rim by getting through ISU's double teams, which amounted to 59% and 69% two-point field goal percentages for them. Last night, it seemed that we were a bit more select in terms of double teams and hard hedges and focused more on making sure that no one got an uncontested look at the rim. It resulted in 6 blocks and a 41% two-point field goal percentage for Marquette, who is at 59% from two for the season.
I think we've seen enough this season - at least against the good teams - to say that the defensive strategy overall has changed from the more aggressive approach that leads to the scramble and recover, to more of a "grind it out" and defend for the full shot clock approach. It shows up in the very high 'average defensive possession' metric on KenPom.There will be times when both strategies are useful (more aggressive traps and steal attempts vs. more of a straight-up defense) but last night it was beneficial against a seasoned team that wasn't going to turn the ball over a ton. It also helped keep Marquette's free throw rate way down compared to the games in Maui.
It's also notable that for the last 2 years we were first in the country in metrics around not allowing shots at the rim
This is very deep into the statnerd side - but the site haslemetrics calls it "proximity" or "Near Proximity Attempts Allowed" (NPAR). And we've dropped off quite a bit on that - probably mostly a testament to what BRE and company did really REALLY well, but it a big difference:
