Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)
- Thread starter ISUcyclones11
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If I had to bet, they'd be locking into a long term deal at payouts well below what the Big 12 could offer. That would be a hard pill to swallow.
kcbob79clone
Well-Known Member
Endowments have been listed as a piece to the realignment puzzle so here is some info
Figured this was going to happen at some point and I'm sure UCLA factored it into them leaving. I'm guessing even with litigation, UCLA still thought their best move was the Big 10. The UCLA athletic department is in awful financial shape.
kcbob79clone
Well-Known Member
Same news as reported elsewhere but UteNation realizes it is only a short term deal
I’m only surprised it took this long. I suppose it fits with Cal athletics though
I had wondered if the Cal silence was due to working for an invite or one even being assumed forthcoming
They may not want to but they may not have a choice, we shall see how it plays out.
Exactly. Announcing solidarity with the PAC at this point burns zero bridges, so it's the obvious statement to release. We'll see how this holds up once they start getting different media deals and projections or need to sign a GOR to the PAC.
The only way they would renegotiate the deal would be if someone joins/leaves. But that is separate from the GoR. With that there is nothing that says they will substantially increase the deal, rather it could be just increase/decrease the pay by said number of teams joining/leaving. For instance just add the current rate of pay for someone joining.
But any team that joins the ACC is required to sign on to their GoR Until 2036.
The problem is, there are a lot of ifs in that.
Universities and Conferences dont like ifs.
They also dont like to go into anything when there is this much uncertainty on either side.
For instance Clemson, is going to be hesitant to apply to join the SEC when they do not know the exit penalties for said application. Whether that be court, or negotiation it is a great unknown.
The SEC is going to be hesitant to invite Clemson, not knowing if, they can get out of said exit penalties, or be able to bring their media rights with them.
These people dont like not knowing the outcome before they go into anything. This will be ultimately what stops any change with the ACC or at least slows things down on that front. There will be a lot of work and analysis before anything really moves in the ACC, I believe.
But I could be wrong too. But we have seen OuT is still in the Big 12 because they didnt want to leave/challenge the GoR.
That is what I am saying. Everything is an IF. The potential leftover ACC schools have more IFs and risks if they don't settle. On the other hand, what is known is that doing nothing results in the schools seeking a P2 knowing they are out $800 million. The IFs (risk) breakdown is asymmetrical, and favors action.
Because of how this needs to go down, backchannel, it will take a little time. But as the UNC writer suggested, if 6 have backchannel green lights to P2, it will be settled imo. You think UT and OU just worked their exit when A&M broke the leak?
Comparing this to OUT is amiss. OUT has so little time left on the GOR, and less to lose. Which is why is the GOR is not prohibitive to schools leaving early, then they will leave soon. Every year that passes is less of a reason for schools to challenge, and less leverage for ESPN to use the GOR to control the breakup
Hey kids but schools will need to charge 8% more for tuition and board next year. Scam.
ESPN would like to blow up their ACC deal because they will get more by moving those teams to the SEC, then if they continue to have to pay off the bargain ACC contract. The ACC outside of a few schools does not draw large TV football audiences, much like the LHN never did.
By getting the schools they want out from under the GOR agreement, they then get them into the SEC, thereby increasing that payout and getting rid of any money owed to the ACC, much like they did with the LHN.
By getting the schools they want out from under the GOR agreement, they then get them into the SEC, thereby increasing that payout and getting rid of any money owed to the ACC, much like they did with the LHN.
I’m sure most schools would take that option but there might be enough unwanted teams plus those that simply couldn’t swing it to pay out GoR for the league to dissolve. Plus for a lot of teams they might get the Maryland, Rutgers and even Nebraska deal. They had to forgo tons of media dollars for years.
It would be one thing if there were 4-5 years left on the ACC GOR. Announce you are leaving, and if the instability gets enough to leave and dissolve, you are good. Otherwise worst case Is you sit tight until it dissolves, you can afford the payout, or at worst you ride out the 5 years. It’s just SO long that it is going to take somebody making a really bold move.
I wonder how it would work if a few ACC teams could come to an agreement to join pending dissolution if the league within a specified time frame. If something like that was announced, you probably see the league fold.
