W and L the 2010 Schedule

Jun 2, 2010
190
6
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Jack Trice Stadium
Northern Illinois - W
@ Iowa - L
Kansas State (@ Arrowhead) - W
UNI - W
Texas Tech - W
Utah - W
@ Oklahoma - L
@ Texas - L
Kansas (Homecoming) - W
Nebraska - W
@ Colorado - W
Missouri - W

That would put us 9-3 (6-2) and likely land us in the Big XII Championship Game. Nebraska will lose to Texas, and we would have the tie-breaker by beating them in Ames...AGAIN!

I think the Utah game is a toss-up, but one we'll prevail in. Even with a loss to the Utes, it wouldn't negatively impact our chances of making it to the Big XII Championship Game.
 

CycloneNC2015

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Jul 28, 2009
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Northern Illinois - W
@ Iowa - L
Kansas State (@ Arrowhead) - W
UNI - W
Texas Tech - W
Utah - W
@ Oklahoma - L
@ Texas - L
Kansas (Homecoming) - W
Nebraska - W
@ Colorado - W
Missouri - W

That would put us 9-3 (6-2) and likely land us in the Big XII Championship Game. Nebraska will lose to Texas, and we would have the tie-breaker by beating them in Ames...AGAIN!

I think the Utah game is a toss-up, but one we'll prevail in. Even with a loss to the Utes, it wouldn't negatively impact our chances of making it to the Big XII Championship Game.

I think you could be on to something here. Here are my thoughts:

NIU W
This should be a roll over game. Nuff said.

Iowa L
This one will be a tough one, especially in Iowa City. I think this could be a toss up especially after seeing what a CPR defense can do. (see +8 versus NU) I will say an L just for argument sake, but think this is very winnable.

KSU W
We are not going to let this one get away this year.

UNI W
While they are a very good 1AA team, they are still just that.....1AA.

TTECH W
They are breaking in a new coach who will be playing in Jack Trice for the 1st time, not gonna happen.

UTAH W
While Utah fields a decent squad, they still play in the MWC. I dont foresee them playing well on the road in a tough environment.

OKLAHOMO L
They're Oklahoma

TEXAS L
They're Texas

KANSAS W
The last two years we have come close to beating these guys, this year is the year. They are breaking in a new coach.

NEBRASKA W
No way is CPR going to let these guys win going out the door. By the time they get to us they will be bruised and battered from everyone taking their liberties on them. Expect another stellar defensive bout.

COLORADO W
Colorado can't even afford to fire their coach, this will be a walk in the park.

MISSOURI W
We get them at home. They aren't the offensive juggernaut of the Chase Daniel era. Jack Trice will be the deciding factor.

I think we have a good shot at making the conference title game. I know that may seem far too optimistic but if we keep improving week to week and this team can take off like I think we could be looking at one of the greatest years ISU has ever seen. Who knows "IF" we get into the CCG we may have a punchers chance. See NU last year who almost knocked of UT if it werent for :01. :wink:

Is it football season yet?
 

MLawrence

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Jan 21, 2010
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I would say that is probably the best case scenario for ISU. Do I think that is going to happen? No, I don't but I'm still hopeful. The key in next year's schedule is winning those toss up games. Such as Utah, Missouri, and Texas Tech. Kansas, Kansas St, Northern Illinois, UNI, and Colorado are winniable. If we beat all those teams then there is something special building in Ames this year. However, I wouldn't be surprised if the Cyclones lost one or two of those match-ups.
 

DeereClone

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Nov 16, 2009
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This looks like the best case scenario. Worst case scenario would be about 3-9. So anywhere between those 2 records is possible.

But I like where you're going here! :yes:
 

isucyfan

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If the OP is in fact a serious post (which I don't think it is), how much Kool-Aid (or other more hallucinogenic substances) have you been ingesting?

We are not going to go 9-3 and be in the championship game. We will be lucky with this schedule to be 6-6, and I don't even think we'll get there.

Not being a Debbie Downer, just a realist. I completely hope I'm wrong.
 

CycloneNC2015

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Jul 28, 2009
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If the OP is in fact a serious post (which I don't think it is), how much Kool-Aid (or other more hallucinogenic substances) have you been ingesting?

We are not going to go 9-3 and be in the championship game. We will be lucky with this schedule to be 6-6, and I don't even think we'll get there.

Not being a Debbie Downer, just a realist. I completely hope I'm wrong.

What about the schedule isnt believable? Its not like I am picking us to win agianst Texas and Oklahoma. I think this is a very real possibilty. Am I expecting to go 9-3, 10-2....no. But I do think we have a better shot at it than most people think. Thats why we play the games.
 

isucyfan

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What about the schedule isnt believable? Its not like I am picking us to win agianst Texas and Oklahoma. I think this is a very real possibilty. Am I expecting to go 9-3, 10-2....no. But I do think we have a better shot at it than most people think. Thats why we play the games.

I was mostly addressing the original post, but since you have us at 9-3, I'll respond:

Many of the teams you have us down for a win against have had much better programs than us in the past few years, like KU, MU, TT, and NU. Sure, maybe we'll steal one or two of those games, but I don't see us running the table on them by any stretch.

Plus, you've given us a win against a very good Utah team, which I don't see happening either. Add in that a win on the road at CU is never a given, and I just don't see it...sorry.
 

chuckd4735

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6-6

Northern Illinois - W
@ Iowa - L
Kansas State (@ Arrowhead) - W
UNI - W
Texas Tech - W
Utah - L
@ Oklahoma - L
@ Texas - L
Kansas (Homecoming) - W
Nebraska - L
@ Colorado - L
Missouri - W
 

AustinCyclone

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Nov 17, 2006
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Probable Wins: 5
Northern Illinois, Kansas St, UNI, Kansas, Colorado

Probable Losses: 3
Iowa, Texas, Oklahoma

Toss Ups: 4
Tech, Utah, Nebraska, Mizzou

I am convinced that we pull of at least one of those toss up games (ALL at home) to get to 6 wins and a bowl.
 
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CycloneNC2015

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Probable Wins: 5
Northern Illinois, Kansas St, UNI, Kansas, Colorado

Probable Losses: 3
Iowa, Texas, Oklahoma

Toss Ups: 4
Tech, Utah, Nebraska, Mizzou

I am convinced that we pull of at least one of those toss up games (ALL at home) to get to 6 wins and a bowl.

I dont think Tech is a toss up, they are going to be waaaaaaaayyyyy down this year. Changing offensive system and they have never played much defense so they likely wont have the personnel to even field a competent D that Tuberville will try to run.
 

nrg4isu

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6-6

Northern Illinois - W
@ Iowa - L
Kansas State (@ Arrowhead) - W
UNI - W
Texas Tech - W
Utah - L
@ Oklahoma - L
@ Texas - L
Kansas (Homecoming) - W
Nebraska - L
@ Colorado - L
Missouri - W


Switch Missouri and Colorado and I think you've got an educated guess. That being said we will lose a game we are expected to win, and hopefully we will win a game we're expected to lose.
 

Incyte

Well-Known Member
Apr 12, 2007
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I think it makes more since to do probability of victory:

Northern Illinois - 75%
@ Iowa - 15%
Kansas State (@ Arrowhead) - 50%
UNI - 85%
Texas Tech - 50%
Utah - 45%
@ Oklahoma - 5%
@ Texas - 5%
Kansas (Homecoming) - 65%
Nebraska - 45%
@ Colorado - 45%
Missouri - 60%

Add it all up and I get 5.45 wins. That seems about right to me.
 

chuckd4735

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I think it makes more since to do probability of victory:

Northern Illinois - 75%
@ Iowa - 15%
Kansas State (@ Arrowhead) - 50%
UNI - 85%
Texas Tech - 50%
Utah - 45%
@ Oklahoma - 5%
@ Texas - 5%
Kansas (Homecoming) - 65%
Nebraska - 45%
@ Colorado - 45%
Missouri - 60%

Add it all up and I get 5.45 wins. That seems about right to me.

Some of you are really under estimating Northern Illinois. I do think ISU will win that game, but it probably not the 2nd easiest game on the schedule.
 

cyclones500

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I'll continue to stick with my original forecast.

W — NIU
L — @ Iowa
W — vs Kansas State
W — UNI
L — Texas Tech
L — Utah
L — @ Oklahoma
L — @ Texas
W — Kansas
L — Nebraska
W — @ Colorado
L — Mizzurah

5-7, 3-5 (tie 3rd with KSU)

If the first half of the schedule is 4-2 or (not likely) 5-1, things look more promising.

Best case: 7-5 -- possible extra Ws (in order of likelihood) Utah, Tech, Missouri, Iowa
Worst case: 3-9 -- possible extra L's: KSU, Kansas, Colorado, NIU
 

IcSyU

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Nov 27, 2007
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Northern Illinois: Not a bad football team by any means. Think we win by 14-17. (1-0)
@ Iowa: Our struggles continue against Iowa. (1-1)
Kansas State: Revenge for last year. (2-1)
Northern Iowa: Close, but we win (3-1)
Texas Tech: If they keep the spread, we're in trouble. We struggle to stop anyone who can throw. (3-2)
Utah: Extremely difficult game. Unfortunately don't see a win. (3-3)
@ Oklahoma: Slaughter (3-4)
@ Texas: see @ Oklahoma (3-5)
Kansas: We haven't been able to slow them down forever, but I think this is the year (4-5)
Nebraska: It took everything and more falling our way to BARELY win last year. Don't see a W this year. (4-6)
@ Colorado: By the point in time, I think Colorado has already given up on the season. A-Rob has a HUGE day. (5-6)
Missouri: Gabbert sliced and diced us last season. I don't see that changing (5-7)