Weather Thread 1/30-2/2: Possible Major Storm

Trice

Well-Known Member
Apr 1, 2010
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Meteogram Generator

Looks like right around Monday AM commute and last about 24-30 hours...

Great. Thanks for the knowledge.

And thanks to ALL of the meteorologists (professional and amateur) who offer their comments in threads like these. It's a real service and I find it very valuable.
 

2020cy

Well-Known Member
Aug 7, 2006
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Great. Thanks for the knowledge.

And thanks to ALL of the meteorologists (professional and amateur) who offer their comments in threads like these. It's a real service and I find it very valuable.
Brownoser
 

garn91

Well-Known Member
Jun 1, 2006
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Ankeny
So when exactly (as of now) is this supposed to hit? Monday/Tuesday?

I'm flying out of Des Moines on Thursday afternoon. Yesterday the forecast looked great, now I'm starting to get nervous.

Forecast for right now is a 30% chance of snow for Sunday night-Tuesday night. Those percentage changes will likely change once the exact track of the storm becomes more clearer.

7-Day Forecast for Latitude 41.56°N and Longitude 93.6°W
 

FDWxMan

Well-Known Member
Jan 31, 2009
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Des Moines
Meteogram Generator

Looks like right around Monday AM commute and last about 24-30 hours...

There is a chance for light snow Monday, but really the main system/heavy snow, if it were to come together, would be Tuesday, especially noon and later Tue.

Still looks like it should mostly stay to the south as long as the arctic push doesn't get held up on Monday. The colder the better if you want to avoid this snow. I said at noon if the temps for Tuesday's forecast start to creep up from 10-12 degrees and get closer to 20 the next couple days, that would be a bad sign.
 

UNIGuy4Cy

Well-Known Member
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Nov 11, 2009
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Great. Thanks for the knowledge.

And thanks to ALL of the meteorologists (professional and amateur) who offer their comments in threads like these. It's a real service and I find it very valuable.
I agree, I look at these all the time.
 

Iastfan112

Well-Known Member
Apr 14, 2006
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Latest from the National Weather Service Text Product Display

Relevant portion:
WHAT LOOKS TO BE ANOTHER PROLONGED PERIOD OF PRECIP STARTS LATE
SUNDAY EVENING CUMULATING WITH PASSAGE OF SIGNIFICANT STORM
SOMEWHERE THROUGH OH VALLEY LATE TUESDAY. GFS/GEFS CONTINUITY HAS
BEEN BEST IN RECENT RUNS...EITHER STEADY OR WITH ONLY SLIGHT NRN
TINT AND WILL BE FAVORED TODAY. THIS RESULTS IN SOME SNOW FOR
IA...4-6 INCHES OVER SEVERAL DAYS...BUT WITH MORE SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATIONS EITHER RIGHT ALONG IA/MO BORDER OR JUST TO OUR SOUTH
AND EAST. ECMWF/GEM SOLUTIONS ON THE OTHER HAND HAVE HAD LESS
CONTINUITY DANCING AROUND WITH THEIR TRACKS...BUT ARE NOW MORE
BULLISH FOR IA BEING FARTHER NORTH RESULTING IN A BLIZZARD WITH OVER
A FOOT OF SNOW. ALTHOUGH NOT FAVORED RIGHT SNOW...THIS POTENTIAL
WILL CERTAINLY HAVE TO BE MONITORED. REGARDLESS OF FAVORED
SOLUTION...SNOW BECOMING MORE PROBABLE AND HAVE CONTINUED TO RATCHET
UP POPS WHICH ARE NOW EITHER HIGH CHANCES OR LIKELIES WITH MORE
EMPHASIS IN PRODUCTS.

I think they are being slightly too dismissive of the ECMWF and GEM but overall a good explanation of what could happen.
 

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