Any projection of this will be completely dependent upon how bad fox wants to stay in the game.
Pac-12 to decide whether to expand within a couple weeks
- Thread starter cyIclSoneU
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Any projection of this will be completely dependent upon how bad fox wants to stay in the game.
Sounds like the new Pac-12 commish wants to sell Alliance game rights collectively with the B1G and ACC. This would be a boon to the Pac and ACC at the B1G’s expense. It’s annoying that the B1G is basically propping them up via the Alliance for now, when the B12 didn’t get the same support. Hopefully that dynamic ends soon, and then there will be lots of realignment churn.
The 40% growth is within the range that industry consultants expected for growth with the next round of media rights negotiations. The growth figure industry consultants expected was a range of 40-60%.
That sounds drastic, but it really isn't when one considers the math. The expectation was new deals would be 10 years in length and the 40-60% was based on the AVERAGE media rights payments over the 10 years. Using easy math and projected Big12 when UT & OU were still around.
Projected Big12 Media Rights $ in 2025 - $450M or $45M per school
50% Increase in Rights Fees - $675M annual average over 10 years
2026 - $483M or $48.3M per school
2027 - $518M or $51.8M
2028 - $555M or $55.5M
2029 - $596M or $59.6M
2030 - $639M or $63.9M
2031 - $685M or $68.5M
2032 - $735M or $73.5M
2033 -$788M or $78.8M
2034 - $846M or $84.6M
2035 - $907M or $90.7M
The above schedule amounts to a 7.26% annual increase in TV Media Rights. That seems pretty aggressive, but when ESPN agreed to pay the SEC $300M (up from $55M CBS paid in 2008) for its 2:30CT game, I think most college administrators were pretty excited by the potential $ related to this round of media rights.
Right now I believe (definitely an opinion) that the BIGACCPAC is going to team together to combat the SEC. So, the BIG is going to subsidize through the alliance games, the ACCPAC. The better viewing numbers will help in negotiation for the PAC...the ACC is kind of stuck with it's current media rights until 2035. The better long-term will be to give a pod of Big 12 teams to the PAC along with a couple to the BIG and ACC. This helps the PAC and certainly doesn't hurt the BIG and ACC.
Not sure where you read that but it would be impossible for the ACC to be involved given their contract with ESPN thru 2035. And the only way the ACC can re-open that contract is via expansion and continuing that contractual relationship with ESPN.
The P12 needs to decide sooner than later on the future of PACN. If they want to engage bidders beyond ESPN and Fox, they cannot have T3 FB inventory on PACN. NBC, CBS, Amazon and Apple will all want that existing PACN inventory on their own respective streaming platforms. And the P12 will be best off with those new bidders if they aggregate their inventory with either the B10 or with at least 4 existing B12 schools. Given the B10's relationship with Fox & BTN, I highly doubt the B10 goes that route with the P12.
I think this what frustrates me more than anything. Just because UCLA is in LA they will always be fine, yet no one cares about their sports as seen below. How about we look at programs who actually have fans not just a big name or in a good media market. Even when we were horrible Jack Trice was 75% full.
When I saw this photo of the UCLA stadium, I jokingly told my wife that we need a grassroots effort by cyclone nation to have 10,000 cyclone fans decked out in red in attendance at the next UCLA home game. The cyclone fans could take over the end zone seats as a demonstration of our fan following.
We put 61,000 people in the stadium for every home game, but we'll be left out in the cold and UCLA won't..... go figure.
That's college athletics today folks.
I realize there's a lot more to do outdoors in so-Cal than attend a CFB game, but there are 365 days each year to do a lot of other things outdoors.
Its 87 degrees... care to take a guess what the attendance is in Ames next week at 87 degrees?
No need to defend this
ISU has never averaged more than 60,000 for a season.
Exactly how many games have had 61,000+?
Problem is how do you get the conferences to give up control. They have all the power and I don’t know how that ends. Much like the difficulty ending the dynasty of archaic bowl industry a lot of jobs and money going to people that won’t want to give it up. Universities would have to act independent of conferences but also collectively to make a change. I don’t see it happening without lawmakers or regulators forcing a new structure.
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Skimming the Campbell era , outside of the Iowa and UNI games we've sold out for Oklahoma State in 2017 and 2019. I don't know if they kept the numbers from the canceled SDSU game in '18, but I'm pretty sure that was a sellout just from being there.
This year would be our best shot to average 60-61K between this team and people coming back from not attending games last year.
What types of temperatures do you think they normally play in September in the SEC, Oklahoma, Texas schools, etc?
"El Trafico" was tonight!
Seriously, there will be a big crowd next week for the LSU game.
