Wouldn't Baylor go to the Sugar Bowl in this scenario?
Yes, the CCG loser goes to Sugar if the winner is in CFP.
Seems weird to call the least complicated path one that has OU in the playoff and OSU arguably bumping ISU down a spot. It’s more likely if OU wins the CCG but does not make the playoff. Then they are in Sugar and Baylor would go Alamo. If the next best records are ISU and OSU at 8-4 (meaning Texas at 7-5), I think we get the Camping World spot. That’s a pretty simple of doing it.
Things can get more interesting if Baylor and Oklahoma both go 11-1. They might both make NY6 bowls that way even if neither make the playoff. That could leave the door open for ISU to the Alamo, although in that instance it’s possible they would take OSU since we were just there. Then we are back in Camping World.