Must be nice….

madguy30

Well-Known Member
Nov 15, 2011
50,324
47,196
113
Yep, it's largely the "find ways to lose regardless of opponent" aspect that keeps me from declaring ISU would be something like 7-4 right now vs. Iowa's schedule.

I think 6-6 would be reaslistic, though, even with our flaws. Northwestern is horrible, we'd have to try really hard to lose that. And if ISU played Frost-version Nebraska (that is, in September-ish) that's probably a win.

RU, UW, Minnesota, those could depend on what point in the season it occurred, maybe we'd eke out one of them, or we'd have it within grasp and not finish the job (more likely)

Only saving grace vs. UM and UW is that they can't get out of their own way either.

Being fundamentally sound is the difference.
 
  • Like
Reactions: cyclones500

ISU_Guy

Well-Known Member
Jul 21, 2021
3,181
2,578
113
46
Des Moines
The Big Ten west has a bunch of Iowa state type teams in it IMO.

Ill, Purdue, UW, Minny and Nebraska Can't get out of their own way. Iowa is the turtle in the race that is steady and just keeps playing defense and using punter to win games.

The big ten is what the old Big 12 North was for a few years when Colorado, K-State and Nebraska all went to crap. The north winner was probably the 3-4th best team in the league. When the Big 12 was formed, All three of those teams were top ten type teams.
 
  • Like
Reactions: swiacy

BCClone

Well Seen Member.
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Sep 4, 2011
62,124
56,788
113
Not exactly sure.
ISU is not good either.

ISU's front 7 would struggle with Minnesota and WI's Olines.

They would likely still be close games and ISU has a hard time in that scenario.
So Minnesota and Wisconsin have better defenses then Iowas? Iowas defense is turning out to not be as good as people have said?
 

BCClone

Well Seen Member.
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Sep 4, 2011
62,124
56,788
113
Not exactly sure.
I totally agree that our defense would dominate the entire Big 10 West. But our defense has pretty much dominated the entire Big 12, and we have a single win, so.....
And I would say that the big 12 is a much better league than the big ten west. We have played harder competition.
 

madguy30

Well-Known Member
Nov 15, 2011
50,324
47,196
113
So Minnesota and Wisconsin have better defenses then Iowas? Iowas defense is turning out to not be as good as people have said?

Well they're not much worse.


Do we think ISU's offense will do anything against...anyone?

If Minnesota could run like that on Iowa, they likely could on ISU.

Considering ISU's lack of ability to generate turnovers into points, or make any plays on special teams, I don't see how they have any solid advantage on UW or UM.
 

BCClone

Well Seen Member.
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Sep 4, 2011
62,124
56,788
113
Not exactly sure.
Well they're not much worse.


Do we think ISU's offense will do anything against...anyone?

If Minnesota could run like that on Iowa, they likely could on ISU.

Considering ISU's lack of ability to generate turnovers into points, or make any plays on special teams, I don't see how they have any solid advantage on UW or UM.
We had few games where our offense did put up some points. Baylor, texas, West Virginia were games that we scored enough to beat the big ten west offenses. Figure Iowa won with 13 against MN and we had a game or two where we had that or so and I can see 3-4 wins extra.
 

intrepid27

Well-Known Member
Oct 9, 2006
5,731
4,657
113
Marion, IA
I'll give you Rutgers and Northwestern. Even with that, I wouldn't be convinced we win both. And if we play Iowa 10 times this year, we probably lose seven or eight of those games. Teams don't beat us, we beat ourselves.

I'd disagree with this. Here's why- because Both of these coaching staffs keep doing the same things no matter what. Ergo I'd way we would split 5-5.
 

madguy30

Well-Known Member
Nov 15, 2011
50,324
47,196
113
I think ISU would beat Rutgers and NW and would have been blown out against Michigan and OSU. The other games would have been close, but outside of the Iowa game ironically they haven’t won close games this year or really ever under Campbell. So they would probably have 5 wins with Iowa’s schedule.

What's weird is it's not like the 'they only got up for one game' thing works since ISU was not sharp in the Iowa game either.

They just haven't really improved much over the season.
 

swiacy

Well-Known Member
Apr 9, 2009
1,732
1,363
113
Iowa fans were silent until now so they are brave enough to trash talk to me about playing in the B10 Championship. I easily shut them up by reminding them that ISU has had a very successful season in that they beat Iowa in Iowa City. I then add, good luck on national tv against Ohio State.
 
  • Haha
Reactions: Doug Piranha

BCClone

Well Seen Member.
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Sep 4, 2011
62,124
56,788
113
Not exactly sure.
I went and looked, assuming our defenses are pretty similar, I actually think ours is slightly better but lets go with equal for this.

Here are the points they would need to score to win then in this replacement scenario.

11
28
10
55
14
4
11
14

That is less than we needed for the Big 12 games.
 

madguy30

Well-Known Member
Nov 15, 2011
50,324
47,196
113
Iowa fans were silent until now so they are brave enough to trash talk to me about playing in the B10 Championship. I easily shut them up by reminding them that ISU has had a very successful season in that they beat Iowa in Iowa City. I then add, good luck on national tv against Ohio State.

Here's to hoping you didn't actually say this.

ISU's season has been bad.
 

Doug Piranha

Active Member
Oct 13, 2021
226
184
43
39
Iowa fans were silent until now so they are brave enough to trash talk to me about playing in the B10 Championship. I easily shut them up by reminding them that ISU has had a very successful season in that they beat Iowa in Iowa City. I then add, good luck on national tv against Ohio State.
BeautifulThirstyAmericanratsnake-size_restricted.gif
 
  • Dumb
Reactions: SerenityNow

HFCS

Well-Known Member
Aug 13, 2010
68,066
55,319
113
LA LA Land
We would have the same number of wins we do right now if we were in the Big 10 West.

Sagarin:
1 SEC-WEST (A) = 81.32 81.79 ( 1) 7 81.62 ( 1)
2 BIG 12 (A) = 81.05 80.94 ( 2) 10 80.98 ( 2)
3 PAC-12 NORTH (A) = 79.06 78.38 ( 5) 6 78.63 ( 5)
4 BIG TEN-EAST (A) = 78.66 79.02 ( 4) 7 78.73 ( 4)
5 SEC-EAST (A) = 78.52 79.47 ( 3) 7 78.86 ( 3)
6 ACC-ATLANTIC (A) = 77.21 76.72 ( 6) 7 77.00 ( 6)
7 BIG TEN-WEST (A) = 76.00 75.17 ( 7) 7 75.37 ( 7)

That's a pretty substantial difference.
 

BCClone

Well Seen Member.
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Sep 4, 2011
62,124
56,788
113
Not exactly sure.
Sagarin:
1 SEC-WEST (A) = 81.32 81.79 ( 1) 7 81.62 ( 1)
2 BIG 12 (A) = 81.05 80.94 ( 2) 10 80.98 ( 2)
3 PAC-12 NORTH (A) = 79.06 78.38 ( 5) 6 78.63 ( 5)
4 BIG TEN-EAST (A) = 78.66 79.02 ( 4) 7 78.73 ( 4)
5 SEC-EAST (A) = 78.52 79.47 ( 3) 7 78.86 ( 3)
6 ACC-ATLANTIC (A) = 77.21 76.72 ( 6) 7 77.00 ( 6)
7 BIG TEN-WEST (A) = 76.00 75.17 ( 7) 7 75.37 ( 7)

That's a pretty substantial difference.
I understand the rankings on the left. What am I looking at with all the other numbers?
 

AuH2O

Well-Known Member
Sep 7, 2013
11,208
17,115
113
There’s an enormous difference in the Big 12 and Big 10 West. Enormous. Stop looking at their performances against each other as some sort of meaningful indication. ISU didn’t take some huge step back and Iowa didn’t make some magical Improvement.

Strength of schedule is the most underrated aspect in college football. It’s not a marginal, 1-2 win type of thing when you are talking about the type of difference Sagarin shows. It shows us essentially what on the field results showed us. There may be little to no overlap between teams in the two leagues/division. We saw last place ISU **** all over itself in that game and beat the best team in the west.

I think people need to understand how drastic the difference is. ISU isn’t beating OSU or Michigan. Every other game is on the table, with a few likely to be WVU type results.
 

iahawks

Well-Known Member
Sep 7, 2012
11,335
7,983
113
What's weird is it's not like the 'they only got up for one game' thing works since ISU was not sharp in the Iowa game either.

They just haven't really improved much over the season.
The Iowa and ISU game lived up to its El Assico nickname this year for sure. I said after the game that I didn't think either team is very good and a lot of ISU fans didn't like that take. I still stand behind that even if Iowa wins the West.
 

swiacy

Well-Known Member
Apr 9, 2009
1,732
1,363
113
Here's to hoping you didn't actually say this.

ISU's season has been bad.
That's the point, ISU has had a dismal season and will probably finish in last place after getting hammered by TCU. BUT they beat the mighty Hawks in Iowa City who will probably win the B10 West and then get humiliated on national tv. BTW, this senior class is the only class that can say they beat the Hawkeyes under CMC, which has helped with in-state recruiting this year. Since the series was resumed, how many wins have we had in IC?
 

FriendlySpartan

Well-Known Member
Jul 26, 2021
5,949
6,441
113
37
There’s an enormous difference in the Big 12 and Big 10 West. Enormous. Stop looking at their performances against each other as some sort of meaningful indication. ISU didn’t take some huge step back and Iowa didn’t make some magical Improvement.

Strength of schedule is the most underrated aspect in college football. It’s not a marginal, 1-2 win type of thing when you are talking about the type of difference Sagarin shows. It shows us essentially what on the field results showed us. There may be little to no overlap between teams in the two leagues/division. We saw last place ISU **** all over itself in that game and beat the best team in the west.

I think people need to understand how drastic the difference is. ISU isn’t beating OSU or Michigan. Every other game is on the table, with a few likely to be WVU type results.
Spot on agree with this. Michigan and OSU are losses for sure everyone else is up for debate. Now ISU hasn’t faired well this year in those close games but I could see some extra wins potentially if you got the big ten west schedule.
 

GoHawks

Well-Known Member
Jul 12, 2009
3,071
1,658
113
Only saving grace vs. UM and UW is that they can't get out of their own way either.

Being fundamentally sound is the difference.
Not great special teams either. I think Iowa state would kill NW and play 6 tossups if they played the West round robbin
 
  • Disagree
Reactions: CyclonesRock

Gonzo

Well-Known Member
Mar 10, 2009
23,663
26,081
113
Behind you
Spot on agree with this. Michigan and OSU are losses for sure everyone else is up for debate. Now ISU hasn’t faired well this year in those close games but I could see some extra wins potentially if you got the big ten west schedule.
B1G West is obviously bad but aside from Nebby and NW it's not much different from the bottom half of the Big 12.
 
  • Agree
  • Disagree
Reactions: jctisu and GoHawks