TV wants the B1G and SEC to survive. The rest is filler.
Best guess is P2 will take 6 ACC teams to go to 20 each. That will kill the ACC, because they cant backfill enough - not any good options left, certainly not in volume. Whats left would be closer to 10M than 20M annual. B12 will then take next best 4. Prob Pitt, VT, LV, and Duke.
Too many pressures on the ACC:
I just dont see the B1G staying at 18. So they want 2 (or maybe 6).
FSU and Clemson want more $$ so they want out or a new deal.
SEC is prob ok at 16, but if B1G goes to 20 and Clem, FSU, Miami are available and want out, they will go to 20.
ACC wont get the money Clemson and FSU want without unequal sharing, and even that prob isnt enough.
The only way i see ACC staying a power conf, is if the B1G takes just the right teams and the ACC manages to negotiate a new deal that somehow pays FSU and Clemson 60M plus. Just doesnt seem likely.
Theres about 80 teams worth of "power" football. 20 are must-have blue blood brands, about 30 big but middle class teams, and 20 hangers-on. P2 has almost all the blue bloods, which enables them to support their legacy hangers on. The B12 strategy has been volume- to load up as many of the middle class as possible to maintain relevance. The ACC has some of all 3 strata, but if they lose their blue bloods, they cant survive having half the league being hangers on.