Big 12 Tournament Seed Probabilities (Long)

HoopsTournament

Well-Known Member
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Apr 12, 2006
7,844
4,983
113
53
St. Joseph, MO
www.hoopstournament.net
Updated seed probabilities after Oklahoma's win:

#1
Kansas - 100.00%
#2
Oklahoma - 51.00%
West Virginia - 49.00%
#3
West Virginia - 51.00%
Oklahoma - 49.00%
#4
Texas - 82.00%
Baylor - 9.18%
Iowa State - 8.82%
#5
Baylor - 82.00%
Texas - 18.00%
#6
Iowa State - 91.18%
Baylor - 8.82%
#7
Texas Tech - 100.00%
#8
Kansas State - 100.00%
#9
Oklahoma State - 100.00%
#10
Texas Christian - 100.00%
For Iowa State, here are the probabilities by seed and possible matchups:
#4 (8.82%)
Texas - 8.82%
#6 (91.18%)
West Virginia - 51.00%
Oklahoma - 40.18%
 

HoopsTournament

Well-Known Member
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Apr 12, 2006
7,844
4,983
113
53
St. Joseph, MO
www.hoopstournament.net
If we win:

#4 seed vs. Texas if West Virginia beats Baylor
#6 seed vs. West Virginia is Baylor beats West Virginia

If we lose:

#6 seed vs. Oklahoma if West Virginia beats Baylor
#6 seed vs. West Virginia if Baylor beats West Virginia
 

Cy$

Well-Known Member
Sep 1, 2011
24,085
6,031
113
Ames
attachment.php

attachment.php

attachment.php

attachment.php
 

Cy$

Well-Known Member
Sep 1, 2011
24,085
6,031
113
Ames
WVU up 14. Really hope they don't play thursday morning but I hope they upset KU.
 

Rogue52

Well-Known Member
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Oct 20, 2006
8,970
3,607
113
Cedar Rapids, IA
Going to come down to an Iowa State victory for 4 or a loss for 6. I prefer the night game in KC but I'm starting to think being on the opposite side of the bracket as WVU is the way to go.
 

awd4cy

Well-Known Member
Dec 29, 2010
28,017
19,630
113
Central Iowa
Going to come down to an Iowa State victory for 4 or a loss for 6. I prefer the night game in KC but I'm starting to think being on the opposite side of the bracket as WVU is the way to go.
I would rather win at KU today than win the Big 12 tourney
 

chuckd4735

Well-Known Member
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Mar 29, 2006
29,626
12,066
113
42
Lee's Summit, MO
so we are for sure the 6 seed now right?

Yes. Here is what it would of looked like if we won those 2 home games...

1. Kansas (15 - 3)
2. Oklahoma (12 - 6) Defeated Iowa State and West Virginia based on round-robin record.
3. Iowa State (12 - 6) Defeated West Virginia and lost to Oklahoma based on round-robin record.
4. West Virginia (12 - 6) Lost to Oklahoma and Iowa State based on round-robin record.
5. Texas (11 - 7)
6. Texas Tech (9 - 9) Defeated Baylor based on record against #2 teams.
7. Baylor (9 - 9) Lost to Texas Tech based on record against #2 teams.
8. Kansas State (5 - 13)
9. Oklahoma State (3 - 15)
10. TCU (2 - 16)