Yep True all the way through.. Will say Caldwell will go with The **** it attitude because he has nothing to lose (maybe he will make my upset pick happen :twitcyProbably in his benefit that Nelson lost. If Taylor had to push for bonus Caldwell might have been able to catch him in something. If Taylor just has to win he'll be much more relaxed.
Also depends on how Caldwell approaches the match. If he says" **** it, win or go home" he'll try stuff and maybe get pinned. If he just goes to minimize points he should be able to keep it close.